这一下降是美国雪茄市场经历了一段时间大幅度增长之后出现的，美国进口的雪茄从2019年的3.38亿支飙升到2022年的4.65亿支。2025年以进口4.3亿支结束全年。

也许两个月的数据太少，很难判断出什么。这两个月的数据可能意味着异常，也可能是更大增长的开始。关税问题一直是美国雪茄市场担忧的根源。

进口量下降比较大的是原产于洪都拉斯的雪茄，今年前两个月洪都拉斯进口到美国的雪茄只有620万支，同比下降了19.3%。

尼加拉瓜一直是美国进口雪茄的最大原产地国，今年前两个月尼加拉瓜进口的雪茄是2900万支，同比下降9.3%。

多米尼加雪茄则是1250万支，同比下降4.1%。

这三个国家生产的雪茄占了美国进口的手工雪茄数量的99%。

The first two months of 2025 have not been great ones for the handmade cigar industry. Shipments to the United States were off 8.7 percent compared to the first two months of 2024, according to data released today by the Cigar Association of America.

The decrease comes after a period of considerable growth in the cigar market, which boomed from 2019 to 2022, soaring from 338 million handmade cigars in 2019 to 465 million in 2022. There was a contraction in 2023 (a contraction that initially went unreported, as the Cigar Association of America recently recalibrated its 2023 numbers) and last year ended with a small gain of just under 1 percent, with shipments of 430 million. 

It’s difficult to draw too much from only two months of data—this could be an aberration, or it could signal the start of something larger. Tariffs have been the source of some concern in the U.S. cigar market, but it’s unlikely that tariffs have played any role in these figures. 

The sharpest decrease came from Honduras, the third-largest producer of handmade cigars for the U.S. market. Honduras shipped only 6.2 million handmade cigars to the United States in the first two months of 2025, down 19.3 percent when compared to the same period for 2024.

Nicaragua, the world’s largest producer of handmade cigars, shipped 29 million cigars, down 9.3 percent. 

Dominican shipments contracted by 4.1 percent, to 12.5 million cigars. 

Those three producers account for some 99 percent of handmade, premium cigar shipments to the United States.